https://www.jamesgibbins.com/tags/theories/Recent content in Theories on James's PeredutionsHugo -- gohugo.ioenWed, 15 Feb 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://www.jamesgibbins.com/the-fourth-turning/Wed, 15 Feb 2023 00:00:00 +0000https://www.jamesgibbins.com/the-fourth-turning/<h2 id="introduction">Introduction</h2> <p>&ldquo;History doesn&rsquo;t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.”</p> <p>Time goes through cycles. There is the economic cycle, one which everyone is all too aware of. There are Milankovitch cycles, when the climate changes due to variances in the eccentricity, axial tilt, and precession of the planet (which is separate to man-made climate change). There is Saṃsāra, the Buddhist concept of eternal life, death, and rebirth.</p> <p>Strauss and Howe&rsquo;s Fourth Turning Model, written in the late 1990s, proposes a generational cycle that can be used to help explain the rises and falls of human history. According to this theory, we’re currently in the Crisis (who’d have thought?)</p>